New candidate on the rise against Humphreys

Jim Gavin capable of attracting cross-party and non-political support

Heather Humphreys’ path to the Áras has grown clearer in recent days, with her Fine Gael rival Seán Kelly effectively conceding that his nomination bid is faltering. However, Humphreys now faces a fresh and potentially formidable challenger: former Dublin GAA manager Jim Gavin.

Ms Humphreys has secured the backing of more than 40 members of the Fine Gael parliamentary party - twice the 20 signatures required to get her name on the ballot. By contrast, Mr Kelly admitted on Thursday that his attempt to secure support from fellow parliamentarians has hit a wall. Despite encouragement from grassroots members and councillors, he conceded it was “an uphill battle” and acknowledged his chances of qualifying were slim.

With Kelly struggling, Humphreys looks set to claim Fine Gael’s nomination unopposed, a major boost to her campaign. Strong party backing, combined with positive early betting odds, positions her as the current frontrunner. Her steady political profile and broad appeal are helping consolidate support within her party and beyond.

According to RTE, Jim Gavin has written to the Fianna Fáil parliamentary party seeking a nomination to run for president. In his letter, he outlined an agenda for an “active and positive” presidency, pledging to reach out to every community, showcase Irish culture abroad, and open up the Áras as a space for the people. His bid is expected to receive a significant lift when Taoiseach and Fianna Fáil leader Micheál Martin formally backs him as the party’s candidate.

Gavin’s candidacy could alter the race significantly. A national sporting figure with broad public recognition, he has been described by commentators as capable of attracting cross-party and non-political support. Should he secure Fianna Fáil’s nomination, Humphreys’ status as the clear favourite would come under pressure.

Meanwhile, Independent TD Catherine Connolly remains the confirmed candidate of the left, buoyed by support from Labour, the Social Democrats, People Before Profit, and other independents. Yet despite this backing, Connolly lags behind Humphreys and the emerging Gavin in both betting markets and political momentum.

For now, Heather Humphreys holds the advantage—her nomination all but secured and her campaign underpinned by strong Fine Gael machinery. But with Jim Gavin preparing to enter the field, the contest for the presidency may be shaping into a two-horse race.